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Airbus predicts a global fleet of 48 000 aircraft in next 20 years

Writer's picture: MichaëlMichaël

Airbus made a new prediction about passenger aircraft demand. According to the European Giant's study, aerial traffic growth will be very high, around 4,4%. The market's need will be around 37 390 new commercial aircraft during the next two decades.


According to it, Airbus predicts a very large market of 5,800billion dollars (4,950 billion euros) from 2018 to 2037 instead of a market of 5,300billion dollars for 34900 aircraft predicted a year ago.


"Growth factors include that emerging markets have a private consumption 2,4 higher than last year, with incomes raising and a medium class that almost doubled at the global scale." Said Airbus in the study

This raise will be led by emerging countries which represent 60% of the global growth with as consequence a raise in the number of flight per person in these countries. For long and medium-haul segments, the European group predicts a need of 28,550 aircraft in 20 years. Knowing that Airbus reinforced his position on this segment when they took control of CSeries program from Bombardier. For long-haul, Airbus predicts for higher capacity as A350-1000 and A380, a demand of 1,590 during the next 20 years.


After a poor summer in term of concrete orders; 1 order in July and 5 in August; the European leader expects to confirm the 338 commitments it received at Farnborough earlier in July.

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